Industry Analysis
Intel’s bet on advanced packaging is a strategic pivot amid the end of Moore’s Law. If EMIB-T and glass substrates achieve 99% yield, they could disrupt TSMC’s (China Taiwan) CoWoS-L dominance by reshaping AI data center cost structures. This triggers a cascade: EDA tools, thermal interface materials, and test equipment must evolve. While U.S. CHIPS Act subsidies ease capex, geopolitical friction forces costly supply chain redundancy. TSMC will likely accelerate SoIC and InFO-RDL integration while rationing CoWoS capacity to protect margins. Over the next 12–24 months, advanced packaging will become the de facto 'new process node' for HPC. Without volume-ready reliability by 2027, Intel’s IDM 2.0 risks remaining a showcase—not a scalable business.
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