Industry Analysis
This semiconductor selloff reflects a valuation reckoning, not weakening AI demand. Technically, XPU scaling is hitting physical limits; advanced packaging and optical I/O now constrain the entire AI stack, raising infrastructure costs. Geopolitically, U.S. export controls force costly supply chain overhauls—TSMC’s global fabs ease Taiwan, China exposure but inflate capex. Strategically, AMD gains training share with MI300, Intel undercuts with Gaudi 3, and Marvell locks in cloud partners via custom DPUs. Over the next 12–24 months, only firms that vertically integrate and demonstrably lower customers’ total cost of ownership will survive. This correction is healthy de-risking: AI infrastructure spending will still double, but the market now demands cash-flow proof, not hype.
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