Industry Analysis
The surge in HBM demand is reshaping the memory supply chain. SK Hynix leverages early technology adoption and deep ties with NVIDIA to dominate AI data center memory, yet faces concentration risks. Micron, with diversified offerings and U.S. manufacturing, presents higher growth potential amid policy support. Technologically, HBM4 and HBM4E advancements will boost GPU performance, with DRAM and NAND benefiting from data center expansion. Geopolitical tensions, especially in the U.S.-China tech rivalry, heighten supply chain security concerns, favoring U.S. production. In the short term, SK Hynix may maintain market share through capacity expansion, but Micronβs catch-up trajectory offers greater upside. Over the next 12-24 months, HBM supply-demand imbalances will influence capital spending, while policy-driven domestic substitution could redefine global memory markets.
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