Industry Analysis
The U.S. government’s threat of tariffs on non-domestic semiconductor production is reshaping global supply chains. This move forces TSMC, Samsung, and others to accelerate U.S. investments, boosting demand for 3nm and EUV equipment while concentrating DRAM and HBM production in the U.S. Companies are reassessing cost-benefit trade-offs between offshore manufacturing and local production amid U.S.-China tech decoupling. In response, Intel may seek more subsidies, while Micron could pursue M&A to expand domestic capacity. Although the market has already priced in these policies, the actual implementation of tariffs will likely trigger a short-term realignment of global capital flows. Over the next 12–24 months, the industry will enter a policy-driven adjustment phase, where technology strategy and investment decisions will increasingly reflect geopolitical dynamics.
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