Industry Analysis
Despite NVIDIA's current valuation appearing attractive, its dominant position in AI chips is under structural pressure. Technologically, the nearing limits of 3nm and EUV processes at TSMC will constrain supply capacity, directly affecting NVIDIA’s growth trajectory. Geopolitically, escalating tensions between Taiwan, China and the U.S. over semiconductor policies pose supply chain risks, increasing operational costs for NVIDIA. In the market, competitors like AMD and Intel are aggressively developing in-house chips, especially in data centers, creating competitive headwinds. Over the next 12-24 months, if AI hype fades or regulatory shifts occur, NVIDIA’s PEG ratio advantage may erode rapidly, prompting investors to reassess the sustainability of its current valuation.
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