Industry Analysis
Bottlenecks in advanced packaging are reshaping the semiconductor ecosystem. TSMC’s CoWoS capacity is overwhelmed by surging demand for AI chips requiring HBM integration, despite ongoing expansion efforts. Intel’s EMIB-T emerges as a viable alternative, offering compatibility and scalability that appeals to major players like NVIDIA and Google. This shift presents a significant revenue opportunity for Intel’s external foundry business, which currently generates only $293 million versus TSMC’s $40.2 billion. From a geopolitical standpoint, increasing supply chain diversification amid U.S.-China tech rivalry strengthens Intel’s strategic positioning. In the next 12–24 months, packaging technologies will become a key battleground, likely triggering further fragmentation and reconfiguration of the industry’s manufacturing landscape.
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