Industry Analysis
Cohu’s surge in AI and HBM test demand hinges on its Eclipse handlers and T-Core thermal systems addressing a critical bottleneck in high-performance chip ramp. This triggers upstream upgrades in probe cards and thermal materials, while pressuring OSATs to automate. However, under tightening U.S.-Japan-Netherlands export controls, any non-domestic supply chain exposure risks compliance costs and shipment delays. Against Teradyne and Advantest’s platform dominance, Cohu must lock customers into its Neon ecosystem—or risk marginalization. Even with HBM test markets growing >50% CAGR, small players failing qualification windows will be purged by cyclicality. Its 60% recurring revenue offers stability but won’t offset structural obsolescence if execution falters.
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